Radio blackouts are among the most common space weather events to affect Earth. Minor radio blackouts occur, on average, twice per year. Use a Poisson process to model the phenomenon. (a) Given that 3 events have occurred in the first half of the year, what is that probability that 3 events will happen in the rest of the year? (b) How many radio blackouts do you expect to see in two years? (c) Starting from now, how long must we wait so that the probability of seeing the next radio blackout is at least 0.5? (d) Find the probability that the time to the 4th blackout is at most 2 years.

Answers

Answer 1

Answer:

a.  P(x = 3) = 0.061313

b. The expected number of radio blackouts = 4

c.  It is not possible to determine the next radio blackout

d. P(x = 4) = 0.19537

Step-by-step explanation:

From the given information:

Using a Poisson process to model the phenomenon:

Since minor radio blackouts occur, on average, twice per year.

Then:

[tex]\lambda = 2 \ years[/tex]

From question (a)

time t = 1/2 (i.e half of the year)

Let x be the random variable that denotes the probability that 3 events will happen in the rest of the year.

Then:

[tex]P(x = 3) = \dfrac{e^{-\lambda t} \times (\lambda t)^x}{x!}[/tex]

[tex]P(x = 3) = \dfrac{e^{-2* 0.5} \times (2 * 0.5)^3}{3!}[/tex]

P(x = 3) = 0.061313

b).

The number of radio blackouts  we expect to see in two years can be estimated as follows:

we know that:

t = 2 years

E(x) = λ × t

E(x) = 2 × 2

E(x) = 4

The expected number of radio blackouts = 4

c).

The amount of time we need to wait given that the probability of seeing the next radio blackout is at least 0.5 is as follows:

Here, the time (t) = ???

Thus:

P(x =1) = 0.5

[tex]P(x = 1) = \dfrac{e^{-\lambda t} \times (\lambda t)^x}{x!} = 0.5[/tex]

[tex]\dfrac{e^{-\lambda t} \times (\lambda t)^x}{x!} = 0.5[/tex]

Thus, it is not possible to determine the probability (50%) of seeing the next radio blackout.

d)

The probability that the time to the 4th blackout is at most 2 years can be computed as follows:

Here;

x =4 , t = 2

Thus:

[tex]P(x = 4) = \dfrac{e^{-4 } \times (4)^4}{4!}[/tex]

P(x = 4) = 0.19537


Related Questions

Miss Croft made snack bags for the picnic that contain three types of snacks: packages of crackers, packages of cookies, and candy bars. A snack bag containing 6 of each type of snack costs $21.00. A snack bag containing 8 packages of crackers, 5 packages of cookies, and 10 candy bars costs $26.00. A snack bag containing 5 packages of crackers, 4 packages of cookies, and 7 candy bars costs $18.50. Solve a system of three linear equations in three variables to determine the cost of one candy bar.

Answers

Answer: $1.25

Step-by-step explanation:

Let the cost of cracker be a.

Let the cost of cookies be b.

Let the cost of candy bars be c.

From the question,

6a + 6b + 6c = $21

8a + 5b + 10c = $26

5a + 4b + 7c = $18.50

To solve this, we first pick any two pairs of equation. This will be:

6a + 6b + 6c = $21 ....... i

8a + 5b + 10c = $26 ....... ii

Multiply equation i by 8

Multiply equation ii by 6

48a + 48b + 48c = $168 ....... iii

48a + 30b + 60c = $156 ....... iv

Subtract equation iv from iii

18b - 12c = 12

We then pick another two pairs

8a + 5b + 10c = $26

5a + 4b + 7c = $18.50

Multiply equation i by 5

Multiply equation ii by 8

40a + 25b + 50c = $130

40a + 32b + 56c = $148

Subtract the equations

-7b - 6c = -18

Then, solve the new equations formed

18b - 12c = 12 ....... v

-7b - 6c = -18 ....... vi

Multiply equation i by -7

Multiply equation ii by 18

-126b + 84c = -84

-126b - 108c = -324

Subtract the equations

192c = 240

c = 240/129

c = $1.25

From equation v, put the value of c

18b - 12c = 12

18b - 12($1.25) = 12

18b - $15 = $12

18b = $27

b = $27/18

b = $1.5

Since,

6a + 6b + 6c = $21

6a + 6($1.5) + 6($1.25) = $21

6a + $9 + $7.5 = $21

6a + $16.5 = $21

6a = $21 - $16.5

6a = $4.5

a = $4.5/6

a = $0.75

One candy bar cost $1.25

The cost of one candy bar is $1.5 and this can be determined by forming the linear equation with the help of given data.

Given :

Miss Croft made snack bags for the picnic that contain three types of snacks: packages of crackers, packages of cookies, and candy bars.A snack bag containing 6 of each type of snack costs $21.00. A snack bag containing 8 packages of crackers, 5 packages of cookies, and 10 candy bars costs $26.00. A snack bag containing 5 packages of crackers, 4 packages of cookies, and 7 candy bars costs $18.50.

Form the linear equation in order to determine the cost of one candy bar. Let 'x' be the cost of crackers, 'y' be the cost of cookies, and 'z' be the cost of candy bars.

So, the linear equation that represents the situation "A snack bag containing 6 of each type of snack costs $21.00" is:

6x + 6y + 6z = 21  --- (1)

The linear equation that represents the situation "A snack bag containing 8 packages of crackers, 5 packages of cookies, and 10 candy bars costs $26.00" is:

8x + 5y + 10z = 26  --- (2)

The linear equation that represents the situation "A snack bag containing 5 packages of crackers, 4 packages of cookies, and 7 candy bars costs $18.50" is:

5x + 4y + 7z = 18.50  --- (3)

Simplify all three equations in order to determine the value of 'x', 'y', and 'z'.

z = $1.25

y = $1.5

x = $0.75

For more information, refer to the link given below:

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which of the four triangles efG

Answers

In order to solve this i need the picture of the four triangles. Sorry :/

5) h(n) = -2n^2+ 4; Find h(4)

Answers

Answer:

h(4) = -28

General Formulas and Concepts:

Substituting into functions

Order of Operations: BPEMDAS

Step-by-step explanation:

Step 1: Define

h(n) = -2n² + 4

h(4) is n = 4

Step 2: Solve

Substitute:                    h(4) = -2(4)² + 4Exponents:                   h(4) = -2(16) + 4Multiply:                        h(4) = -32 + 4Add:                              h(4) = -28

Please help me out. A square has an area of 90 square inches. Which two consecutive integers does a side length of the square fall between?


The side length of a square with an area of 90 square inches falls between the integers
A and
B .

Answers

Answer:

9 and 10

Step-by-step explanation:

Area of a square = s², where s = side length

Given that the square has an area of 90 in², the side length (s) of the square = √90.

Thus, 90 is not a perfect square and it's square root won't give us an integer.

Thus, √90 lies between two perfect squares namely, 81 and 100.

Therefore, the side length of the square would be:

√81 < √90 < √100

9 < √90 < 10.

The side length of the square lies between 9 and 10.

Answer:

9 and 10

Step-by-step explanation:

find the rate of change ffor Y=4/5x-7/5

Answers

Answer:

4/5

Step-by-step explanation:

thats the slope so im assuming

what is point B on the number line?!?

Answers

It’s= -0.6
(Hopefully it helped)

Answer:

-0.4

hope this helps :)

Given the equation y=1/3x+2 what is the rate of change?

Answers

Answer:

1/3

Step-by-step explanation:

thats the slope so im assuming :/

Explain! Which one is correct?

Answers

Answer:

C) $5/1 ticket

Step-by-step explanation:

$80 for 16 tickets is $5 for 1 ticket. We can find this by just simply dividing 80/16 together to get 5.

Can an opposite and an absolute value of an integer be the same?

Answers

Answer:

yes they can be the same

Step-by-step explanation:

yes

what is the length of the missing side , x

Answers

could you post a pic of what the problem you’re trying to figure out??

Answer:

Yes please i really need it

Step-by-step explanation:

13(6x – 5) – x = 13 – 2(x + 1)

Answers

Answer:

x= 76/79

Step-by-step explanation:

isolate the variable by dividing each side by factors that don't contain a variable (x).

What price do farmers get for their watermelon crops? In the third week of July, a random sample of 40 farming regions gave a sample mean of x = $6.88 per 100 pounds of watermelon. Assume that σ is known to be $1.98 per 100 pounds.
(a) Find a 90% confidence interval for the population mean price (per 100 pounds) that farmers in this region get for their watermelon crop. What is the margin of error? (Round your answers to two decimal places.)
lower limit $1
upper limit $2
margin of error $3
(b) Find the sample size necessary for a 90% confidence level with maximal error of estimate E = 0.35 for the mean price per 100 pounds of watermelon. (Round up to the nearest whole number.)
4 farming regions
(c) A farm brings 15 tons of watermelon to market. Find a 90% confidence interval for the population mean cash value of this crop. What is the margin of error? Hint: 1 ton is 2000 pounds. (Round your answers to two decimal places.)
lower limit $5
upper limit $6
margin of error $7

Answers

Answer:

A) Upper limit = 7.39

Lower limit = 6.37

Margin of error = 0.51

B)Sample size = 87

C) Upper limit = 2218.50

Lower limit = 1909.50

Margin of error = 154.50

Step-by-step explanation:

We are given;

x¯ = $6.88 per 100 pounds

σ = $1.98 per 100 pounds

n = 45

A) We want to find a 90% Confidence interval. It means the significance level is; 1 - 0.9 = 0.1

Critical z-value for significance level of 0.1 is z = 1.645

Now, margin of error is;

MOE = zσ/√n

MOE = (1.645 × 1.98)/√40

MOE ≈ 0.51

Confidence interval is;

CI = x¯ ± MOE

CI = 6.88 ± 0.51

CI = ((6.88 + 0.51), (6.88 - 0.51))

CI = (7.39, 6.37)

Upper limit = 7.39

Lower limit = 6.37

B) We are given E = 0.35

Thus;

E = zσ/√n

Rearranging, we have;

n = (zσ/E)²

n = (1.645 × 1.98/0.35)²

n ≈ 87

Sample size = 87

C)We are told that the farm brings 15 tons of watermelon to market.

Also, 1 ton = 2000 pounds

Thus;

15 tons = 15 × 2000 pounds = 30000 pounds

Now this is per 100 pounds.

Thus, we can write as: 30000/100 = 300 pounds

So;

x¯ = 300 × 6.88

x¯ = 2064

σ = 1.98 × 300

σ = 594

Critical z-value for significance level of 0.1 is z = 1.645

Now, margin of error is;

MOE = zσ/√n

MOE = (1.645 × 594)/√40

MOE ≈ 154.50

Confidence interval is;

CI = x¯ ± MOE

CI = 2064 ± 154.50

CI = (2064 + 154.50, 2064 - 154.50)

CI = (2218.5, 1909.5)

Upper limit = 2218.50

Lower limit = 1909.50

In a multiple linear regression analysis, statistical model utility is determined by the value of R2 and 2s, while practical model utility is determined by the Global F-test p-value.
a) true
b) false

Answers

Answer:

This statement is true because if F statistics is significant, then the entire multiple regression model is useful for the prediction of y.

Step-by-step explanation:

Solution:

In a multiple linear regression analysis, the statistical model utility is determined by the value of R2 and ∂2, while the Global F test p-value determines the practical model.

This statement is true because if F statistics is significant, then the entire multiple regression model is useful for the prediction of y.

The F test is a statistical test that is very flexible. F test can evaluate multiple model terms.

The F test indicates whether a linear regression model provides a better fit to data than a model that contains no independent variable.

The F test for overall significance has two hypotheses:

1- Null hypothesis:

                              The fit of the intercept only model and your model are equal.

2- Alternative hypothesis:

                               The fit of the intercept-only model is significantly reduced compared to your model.

Compare p-value for the F test,

If the p-value is less than the significance level, the sample data provide sufficient evidence  that the regression model fits the data better with no independent variable.

How many solution does 8(3x-6=6(x+8) have

Answers

Answer:

Step-by-step explanation:

at most 1.

8(3x - 6) = 6(x + 8)

24x - 48 = 4x + 48                   Subtract 4x

24x - 4x - 48 = 4x -4x + 48      Combine

20x - 48 = 48                           Add 48 to both sides.

20x = 96                                 divide by 20

x = 96/20

x = 4.8

No other answer is possible.    

16 less than a number r divided by 8

Answers

Answer:r/8>16

Step-by-step explanation:

r/8-16

It says 16 less, so we have to subtract 16 from r divided by 8.

That would be r/8-16.

In a sample of 1000 U.S. adults. 217 think that most celebrities are good role models. Two U.S. adults are selected from this sample without replacement.


Find the probability that both adults think most celebrities are good role models

(Round to three decimal places as needed.)


Find the probability that neither adult thinks most celebrities are good role models

(Round to three decimal places as needed.)


Find the probability that at least one of the two adults thinks most celebrities are good role models

(Round to three decimal places as needed)

Answers

Answer:

(a) 0.047

(b) 0.613

(c) 0.387

Step-by-step explanation:

In a sample of 1000 U.S. adults 217 think that most celebrities are good role models.

The proportion of U.S. adults who think that most celebrities are good role models is, p = 0.217.

Two U.S. adults are selected from this sample without replacement.

Let X denote the number of U.S. adults who think that most celebrities are good role models.

Both the individuals are independent of each other.

The random variable X follows a binomial distribution with parameters n = 2 and p = 0.217.

The probability mass function of X is:

[tex]P(X=x)={2\choose x}(0.217)^{x}(1-0.217)^{2-x};x=0,1,2[/tex]

(a)

Compute the probability that both adults think most celebrities are good role models as follows:

[tex]P(X=2)={2\choose 2}(0.217)^{2}(1-0.217)^{2-2}\\=1\times 0.047089\times 1\\=0.047[/tex]

Thus, the probability that both adults think most celebrities are good role models is 0.047.

(b)

Compute the probability that neither adult thinks most celebrities are good role models as follows:

[tex]P(X=0)={2\choose 0}(0.217)^{0}(1-0.217)^{2-0}\\=1\times 1\times 0.613089\\=0.613[/tex]

Thus, the probability that neither adult thinks most celebrities are good role models is 0.613.

(c)

Compute the probability that at least one of the two adults thinks most celebrities are good role models  as follows:

[tex]P(X\geq 1)=1-P(X<1)\\=1-P(X=0)\\=1-0.613\\=0.387[/tex]

Thus, the probability that at least one of the two adults thinks most celebrities are good role models  is 0.387

Apply the distributive property to Factor
and the greatest common Factor 44+48

Answers

The greatest common factor is 4(11+6)

Graph the linear function f(x) = 3 – 6x .

Answers

Answer:

put one point at (0,3)

put another point at (1,-3)

draw a line between them

Step-by-step explanation:

could u vote me brainliest plz? thx :)

The standard formula for calculating the equation of a line is expressed as

y = mx + b

m is the slope of the line

b is the y-intercept of the line

Given the equation to graph expressed as g(x) = 3 - 6x

First, we need to get the x and y-intercept of the line expressed as:

For the x-intercept, y = 0

0 = 3 - 6x

6x = 3

x = 0.5

The x-intercept is at (0.5, 0)

For the y-intercept, x = 0

y = 3 - 6(0)

y = 3

The y-intercept is at (0, 3)

Plot the graph of a line passing through the coordinate points (0.5, 0) and (0, 3) as shown below;

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Jasmine drives every morning to her office that is 12 miles from her home.
c

Suppose Jasmine drives from home to the office in 20 minutes. Use this information and part (b) to write an equation. QUICK RSM HELL EMERGENCY DUE TOMARO

Answers

Answer:

d = 36t

Step-by-step explanation:

We need to calculate the speed of Jasmine first as shown:

Speed = Distance/Time

Given:

Distance = 12miles

Time = 20mins

Time = 20/60 hr

Time = 1/3 hr

Speed = 12/(1/3)

Speed = 12 * 3/1

Speed = 38mi/hr

From the formula:

S = d/t

To get the equation needed, substitute s = 36 into the formula:

36 = d/t

d = 36t

Hence the required equation is d = 36t where d is the distance in miles and time in hour

Answer:

36

Step-by-step explanation:

write each precent as a fraction in simplest from. 2%=

Answers

Answer:

1/500

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

1/5 i think

Step-by-step explanation:

Suppose that you are attempting to estimate the annual income of 1700 families. In order to use the infinite standard deviation formula, what sample size, n, should you use

Answers

Answer:

Sample size should be less than 85

Step-by-step explanation:

Sample size should be less than 85

Step-by-step explanation:

To use the infinite standard deviation formula, n has to be <= (0.05)(1700)

n <= 85

So the sample size has to be less than 85

In another way too,

n = sample size

N = population size

For population, we multiply correction factor to the infinite standard deviation

F is <= 0.05

[tex]n/{N} <0.05[/tex]

n<0.05x1700

n<85

Sample size should be less than 85

Three statistics professors and seven chemistry professors are available to be advisors to a student organization. The student organization needs two of the professors to be advisors. If each professor has an equal chance of being selected, what is the probability that both professors are chemistry professors?

Answers

Answer:

P[2qp] = 0,467      or    46,7 %

Step-by-step explanation:

The probability of two of seven chemistry professors is equal to:

P[2 qp] = quantity of combinations of seven elements taken in groups of two, over total quantity of events, therefore

The total quantity of combinations is:

3 statistics professors + 7 chemistry professors taken in groups of 2 that is:

Te  = (3 + 7) ! / 2!*(10-2)!

Te = 9!/ 2!*5!        ⇒    Te = 9*8*7*6*5!/2!*8!    ⇒ Te = 9*8!/2*8!

Te = 45

And successful events are:

C₇,₂  =  7!/2!*(7-2)!

C₇,₂  = 21

Finally, the probability that both professors are chemistry professors is:

P[2qp] = 21/45

P[2qp] = 0,467      or    46,7 %

The probability of selecting both professors are chemistry professors will be 0.4667 or 46.67%.

What is probability?

Probability means possibility. It deals with the occurrence of a random event. The value of probability can only be from 0 to 1. Its basic meaning is something is likely to happen. It is the ratio of the favorable event to the total number of events.

Three statistics professors and seven chemistry professors are available to be advisors to a student organization.

The student organization needs two of the professors to be advisors.

If each professor has an equal chance of being selected.

The probability that both professors are chemistry professors will be

The total quantity of combinations will be

[tex]\rm T = \ ^{10} C _ 2 = 45[/tex]

And successfull events will be

[tex]\rm F = \ ^7C_2 = 21[/tex]

Then the probability will be

[tex]\rm P = \dfrac{F}{T}\\\\\\P = \dfrac{21}{45}\\\\\\P = 0.4667 \ or \ 46.67 \%[/tex]

More about the probability link is given below.

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9. Mr. Stevenson is ordering shirts and hats for his Boy
Scout Troop. There are 60 scouts in the troop.
Hats come in packs of 3, and shirts come in packs of
5. What is the least number of packs each he
should order so that each scout will have 1 hat and
1 shirt, and none will be left over?

Answers

Answer:

20 hat packs and 12 shirt packs

Step-by-step explanation:

Scout total troops of boys is 60

Hat come in packs is 3 and shirts come packs of 5 .Thus answer to above question 20 hats and 12 shirts at least

Explanation:

At least no of hats -60/3-20

at least no of shirts -60/5-12

Thus we conclude that the total of at least shirts 12 and hats is 20 is true

To know more about  troops

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How can I prove my teacher I’m an advanced kid?

Answers

Answer:

tell them that you would like them to reconsider your level in whatever class that is

Step-by-step explanation:

Answer:

Maybe have good handwriting (if written assignents), double check your questions to make sure they are corect, show all of your work, ask extra questions to show you are paying attention, take notes and try to make sure she/he notices.

Step-by-step explanation:

hope this helped

1. Compare using >,<, or =. d. 24 tenths ______2.5

Answers

Answer:

<

Step-by-step explanation:

[tex]24 \: tenths = \frac{24}{10} = 2.4 \\ \\ 2.4 \: \: \red{\bold{ < }} \: \: 2.5[/tex]

Jamal buys 33 bolts that cost $0.38 each,hich equation represents the best estimate for the total cost of all of the bolts

Answers

Answer:

12.54

Step-by-step explanation:

Patricia and Emma work together. They both have the same amount of money invested in their portfolios. Their investments are listed in the table. Two months ago, the company Patricia and Emma work for started incurring losses, and now its share price has started falling. Which statement is correct given the scenario?

Patricia’s Investmentscompany stocks, bonds, mutual funds, domestic stocks, and international stocksEmma’s Investmentscompany stocks

A. 

Patricia’s portfolio will be affected the most because she has too many assets in her portfolio.

B. 

Emma’s portfolio will be affected the most because it is limited to company stock.

C. 

Neither portfolio will be significantly affected because both have a good mix of assets.

D. 

Both portfolios will be equally affected because both have an equal amount of company stock.



Answers

Answer:

I believe it would be B, hoped I helped :)

Step-by-step explanation:

The statement that is correct given the scenario is: B. Emma’s portfolio will be affected the most because it is limited to company stock.

Portfolio

Since both of them have the equal money invested in their portfolios in which the company the both work for started incurring losses this tend to means that Emma   portfolio will be affected the most by the loss that was incurred.

The reason why Emma portfolio will be most affected  is because his portfolio is limited to the company stock compare to that of Patricia’s

Therefore the correct option is B.

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#SPJ2

Sara Moon is a video editor who earns $63,840 annually. She is married, has 2 dependents, and her state tax rate is 4%.

Answers

Answer:

The answer is below

Step-by-step explanation:

Use the Exemption amounts in Figure 2.2 on page 132 to find the (a) amount for exemptions and (b) annual state income taxes.

The exemptions are shown in the image below.

a) We can see that the exemptions for a married person is $4000 and $2000 per dependent. Since there are 2 dependents therefore:

Amount for exemptions = $4000 + (2 dependents × $2000 per dependent)

Amount for exemptions = $4000 + $4000 = $8000

Amount for exemptions = $8000

b) Taxable wages = Annual gross pay - Exemptions

Taxable wages = $63840 - $8000 = $55840

Annual state income taxes = Taxable wages × State tax rate

Annual state income taxes = $55840 × 4% = $2233.6

Which sentence is true is 0.45<0.5

Answers

0.45 is smaller than 0.5 so the answer is false that isn’t a correct statement!

True.

When you break it down, it's 0.45 compared to 0.50, so 0.5 is greater than 0.45 by 0.05. Also, 0.5 is closer to 0.

Owen earns a base salary of $925 per month as a salesman. In addition to his salary, he earns $85 per product that he sells. If his goal is to earn more than $4,500 per month, how many products does he need to sell? what would be the problem and solution?

Answers

Answer:

43

Step-by-step explanation:

Other Questions
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