The number of transistors per IC in 1972 seems to be about 4,000 (a rough estimate by eye). Using this estimate and Moore's Law, what would you predict the number of transistors per IC to be 20 years later, in 1992?

From the Moore's Law, the predicted number of transistors per IC in 1992 would be approximately 4,096,000.

Given data:

Based on this exponential growth pattern, use the estimate of 4,000 transistors per IC in 1972 to predict the number of transistors per IC in 1992.

To predict the number of transistors per IC in 1992, determine how many doublings occurred during the 20-year period from 1972 to 1992.

Since each doubling represents a multiplication by 2, calculate the number of doublings as follows:

Number of doublings = (1992 - 1972) / 2

Number of doublings = 20 / 2

Number of doublings = 10

Now, use this number of doublings to predict the number of transistors per IC in 1992:

Predicted number of transistors per IC in 1992 = 4,000 * (2^10)

Predicted number of transistors per IC in 1992 = 4,000 * 1,024

Predicted number of transistors per IC in 1992 ≈ 4,096,000

Hence, based on Moore's Law and the estimate of 4,000 transistors per IC in 1972, the predicted number of transistors per IC in 1992 would be approximately 4,096,000.

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